Now that we have confirmation that Game of Thrones (GOT) Season 6 will not be delayed till May, fans of the show are rejoicing everywhere but there is a certain segment of the fans who were secretly hoping that the upcoming season gets delayed- the book readers. Not because they have anything against the show, it is just that if Season 6 does premiere before The Winds of Winter (TWOW), it will include all the major plots from the sixth book in the A Song of Ice and Fire (ASOIAF) series which will be a massive disappointment for them.
Just think like a fan of the books if you’re not one. They knew about Jon Snow in 2011. And they have been patiently waiting for a long time now to find out the fate of Lord Commander who was betrayed by the men of Night’s watch. Now there are fans of the show, which premiered the same year as the last book and only six months back they got that same shock from the finale of season 5, which ASOIAF fans received from A Dance With Dragons (ADWD), over 4 years ago. And in all likelihood, they will be the first ones to know how Jon Snow comes back to life, his parentage and many other secrets that the book readers are hoping to be unveiled in TWOW.
The possible delay would have given them hope that it is due to HBO giving George R.R. Martin (GRRM) more time to complete the next book. Since that’s no longer the case, fans are now analyzing how much time does Martin have if he still plans to release TWOW before season 6. Considering that the network’s new drama Vinyl will end on April 10, new season of GOT can either premiere on April 17 or 24.
FiveThiryEightLife got in touch with one of the well known analyzers of Martin’s work and writing pace- BryndenBFish (Jeff), who is quite sure that TWOW will not be out before late 2016/early 2017. This is what he said about the next book and how much time does GRRM have to get it published before the upcoming season.
“While the average turnaround time for a book to go from ‘manuscript submission’ to ‘published and on the shelves’ usually ranges from four to six months, Random House hustled and published ‘A Dance with Dragons’ seven weeks after they received the final manuscript.”
Assuming the premiere date as April 24 and an accelerated production schedule like ADWD, Jeff reckons that GRRM must submit TWOW by February 23, if it were to hit shelves before season 6 premiere. He adds:
“He’s going to have to submit something in 90 days or it’s likely he won’t publish in time.”